Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate, Met Office, and BBC indicate Munich highs around 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation, combined with dry antecedent soil moisture that limits evaporative cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development explain the 38% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 35°C versus 34°C, while historical August climatology (average high ~24–25°C) underscores the anomalous warmth. Updated runs from DWD or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 15. August?
35°C 38%
34°C 35%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
38%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 35%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$59 Vol.
3%
33°C
$216 Vol.
10%
34°C
$379 Vol.
35%
35°C
$1,391 Vol.
38%
36°C
$42 Vol.
12%
37°C
$12 Vol.
2%
38°C
$71 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$19 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate, Met Office, and BBC indicate Munich highs around 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation, combined with dry antecedent soil moisture that limits evaporative cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development explain the 38% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 35°C versus 34°C, while historical August climatology (average high ~24–25°C) underscores the anomalous warmth. Updated runs from DWD or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,237Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate, Met Office, and BBC indicate Munich highs around 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation, combined with dry antecedent soil moisture that limits evaporative cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development explain the 38% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 35°C versus 34°C, while historical August climatology (average high ~24–25°C) underscores the anomalous warmth. Updated runs from DWD or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,237Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate, Met Office, and BBC indicate Munich highs around 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation, combined with dry antecedent soil moisture that limits evaporative cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development explain the 38% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 35°C versus 34°C, while historical August climatology (average high ~24–25°C) underscores the anomalous warmth. Updated runs from DWD or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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