Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble models and regional forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24°C on August 17, with traders splitting probability between 23–24°C outcomes amid uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and northeasterly flow. High humidity near 80% suppresses radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions, while scattered showers or variable wind patterns could allow slightly greater nocturnal temperature drops. These factors align with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows and suppressed diurnal ranges, keeping 25°C or higher probabilities low at present. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. August?
23°C 56%
24°C 42%
22°C 15%
25°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
15%
23°C
33%
24°C
42%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 42%
22°C 15%
25°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$16 Vol.
33%
24°C
$3 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5 Vol.
6%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble models and regional forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24°C on August 17, with traders splitting probability between 23–24°C outcomes amid uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and northeasterly flow. High humidity near 80% suppresses radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions, while scattered showers or variable wind patterns could allow slightly greater nocturnal temperature drops. These factors align with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows and suppressed diurnal ranges, keeping 25°C or higher probabilities low at present. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$50Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble models and regional forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24°C on August 17, with traders splitting probability between 23–24°C outcomes amid uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and northeasterly flow. High humidity near 80% suppresses radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions, while scattered showers or variable wind patterns could allow slightly greater nocturnal temperature drops. These factors align with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows and suppressed diurnal ranges, keeping 25°C or higher probabilities low at present. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble models and regional forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24°C on August 17, with traders splitting probability between 23–24°C outcomes amid uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and northeasterly flow. High humidity near 80% suppresses radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions, while scattered showers or variable wind patterns could allow slightly greater nocturnal temperature drops. These factors align with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows and suppressed diurnal ranges, keeping 25°C or higher probabilities low at present. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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