Recent weather model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it and global forecasts points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, supporting a minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30. High-pressure dominance and dew points around 16–18°C align with this outcome, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically range 17–21°C absent frontal systems. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, with limited volatility expected before resolution. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 20°C, while any model bias toward drier air might allow brief dips toward 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
18°C 95%
14°C or below 9%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
14°C or below
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
95%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
14°C or below 9%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
14°C or below
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
95%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it and global forecasts points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, supporting a minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30. High-pressure dominance and dew points around 16–18°C align with this outcome, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically range 17–21°C absent frontal systems. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, with limited volatility expected before resolution. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 20°C, while any model bias toward drier air might allow brief dips toward 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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