Forecast models from sources including the Italian Meteorological Service and European weather centers indicate a peak of 31°C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. Afternoon observations have already approached this level, aligning with climatological norms for late August in the Po Valley. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this tight consensus in official guidance, where small deviations in timing or station readings could shift the recorded maximum. Realistic challenges include localized convective development or slight forecast revisions from updated model runs, though current stability makes larger swings improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
31°C 99.0%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$40,824 Vol.
$40,824 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
31°C 99.0%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$40,824 Vol.
$40,824 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,822 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,549 Vol.
99%
32°C
$3,868 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,092 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Italian Meteorological Service and European weather centers indicate a peak of 31°C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. Afternoon observations have already approached this level, aligning with climatological norms for late August in the Po Valley. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this tight consensus in official guidance, where small deviations in timing or station readings could shift the recorded maximum. Realistic challenges include localized convective development or slight forecast revisions from updated model runs, though current stability makes larger swings improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$40,824Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Italian Meteorological Service and European weather centers indicate a peak of 31°C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. Afternoon observations have already approached this level, aligning with climatological norms for late August in the Po Valley. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this tight consensus in official guidance, where small deviations in timing or station readings could shift the recorded maximum. Realistic challenges include localized convective development or slight forecast revisions from updated model runs, though current stability makes larger swings improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,824Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Italian Meteorological Service and European weather centers indicate a peak of 31°C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. Afternoon observations have already approached this level, aligning with climatological norms for late August in the Po Valley. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this tight consensus in official guidance, where small deviations in timing or station readings could shift the recorded maximum. Realistic challenges include localized convective development or slight forecast revisions from updated model runs, though current stability makes larger swings improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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