Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies dominate Milan’s forecast for August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light winds and low humidity that keeps the daily minimum near 21–22 °C according to multiple models. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 16 °C or below, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Light southwesterly flow and dew points around 15–18 °C limit further cooling, while historical late-August baselines near 18 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced in. Updated runs from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 31. August?
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
20°C 31%
19°C 30%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
33%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
31%
21°C
23%
22°C
22%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
20°C 31%
19°C 30%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$43 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$2 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies dominate Milan’s forecast for August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light winds and low humidity that keeps the daily minimum near 21–22 °C according to multiple models. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 16 °C or below, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Light southwesterly flow and dew points around 15–18 °C limit further cooling, while historical late-August baselines near 18 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced in. Updated runs from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$66Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies dominate Milan’s forecast for August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light winds and low humidity that keeps the daily minimum near 21–22 °C according to multiple models. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 16 °C or below, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Light southwesterly flow and dew points around 15–18 °C limit further cooling, while historical late-August baselines near 18 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced in. Updated runs from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies dominate Milan’s forecast for August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling under light winds and low humidity that keeps the daily minimum near 21–22 °C according to multiple models. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 16 °C or below, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Light southwesterly flow and dew points around 15–18 °C limit further cooling, while historical late-August baselines near 18 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced in. Updated runs from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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