**Trader consensus has locked onto 18°C as the official highest temperature for Wellington on August 30, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from MetService and airport stations.** Late-winter northerly winds have advected milder air masses over the North Island, combined with predominantly clear skies that maximized daytime solar insolation and allowed surface temperatures to peak near 18°C (64°F) during afternoon hours. This exceeds the August climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with recent model guidance showing a transient warm anomaly. With the day nearly complete and no further significant warming possible, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of real-time station reports rather than forecasts. Only a major revision in official post-analysis data could alter resolution, an improbable scenario at this stage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 30. August?
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 Vol.
$81,437 Vol.
18°C
100%
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 Vol.
$81,437 Vol.
18°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto 18°C as the official highest temperature for Wellington on August 30, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from MetService and airport stations.** Late-winter northerly winds have advected milder air masses over the North Island, combined with predominantly clear skies that maximized daytime solar insolation and allowed surface temperatures to peak near 18°C (64°F) during afternoon hours. This exceeds the August climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with recent model guidance showing a transient warm anomaly. With the day nearly complete and no further significant warming possible, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of real-time station reports rather than forecasts. Only a major revision in official post-analysis data could alter resolution, an improbable scenario at this stage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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