**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model guidance showing a peak under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and minimal afternoon heating.** Official forecasts issued on August 29–30 consistently projected a maximum near 28°C, yet real-time station data through midday aligned closer to 26°C, with dew points around 22°C and high humidity limiting further rise. This skin-in-the-game assessment accounts for the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer conditions in the Kanto region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover often cap temperatures below climatological normals of ~30°C. Resolution hinges on the final JMA-verified reading at the Tokyo station; an unexpected late-day clearing could still push readings to 27–28°C, though current model consensus makes that low-probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 30. August?
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,802 Vol.
$68,802 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,802 Vol.
$68,802 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,025 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10,794 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,725 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,175 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,546 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,039 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model guidance showing a peak under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and minimal afternoon heating.**
Official forecasts issued on August 29–30 consistently projected a maximum near 28°C, yet real-time station data through midday aligned closer to 26°C, with dew points around 22°C and high humidity limiting further rise. This skin-in-the-game assessment accounts for the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer conditions in the Kanto region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover often cap temperatures below climatological normals of ~30°C. Resolution hinges on the final JMA-verified reading at the Tokyo station; an unexpected late-day clearing could still push readings to 27–28°C, though current model consensus makes that low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$68,802Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model guidance showing a peak under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and minimal afternoon heating.**
Official forecasts issued on August 29–30 consistently projected a maximum near 28°C, yet real-time station data through midday aligned closer to 26°C, with dew points around 22°C and high humidity limiting further rise. This skin-in-the-game assessment accounts for the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer conditions in the Kanto region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover often cap temperatures below climatological normals of ~30°C. Resolution hinges on the final JMA-verified reading at the Tokyo station; an unexpected late-day clearing could still push readings to 27–28°C, though current model consensus makes that low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68,802Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model guidance showing a peak under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and minimal afternoon heating.** Official forecasts issued on August 29–30 consistently projected a maximum near 28°C, yet real-time station data through midday aligned closer to 26°C, with dew points around 22°C and high humidity limiting further rise. This skin-in-the-game assessment accounts for the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer conditions in the Kanto region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover often cap temperatures below climatological normals of ~30°C. Resolution hinges on the final JMA-verified reading at the Tokyo station; an unexpected late-day clearing could still push readings to 27–28°C, though current model consensus makes that low-probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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