Persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds across the Paris region are limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal averages of 23–24°C, which explains the tight market split between 24°C (43.5%) and 25°C (45.5%). Official forecasts from Météo-France and global models show afternoon peaks stabilizing around 23–24°C under overcast skies with minimal breaks, while light precipitation chances further suppress extremes. Historical data indicate August 30 highs average near 24°C, yet small variations in insolation or wind direction can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 30. August?
25°C 46%
24°C 42%
23°C 10%
26°C 6.3%
$43,793 Vol.
$43,793 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
42%
25°C
46%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 42%
23°C 10%
26°C 6.3%
$43,793 Vol.
$43,793 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
42%
25°C
46%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds across the Paris region are limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal averages of 23–24°C, which explains the tight market split between 24°C (43.5%) and 25°C (45.5%). Official forecasts from Météo-France and global models show afternoon peaks stabilizing around 23–24°C under overcast skies with minimal breaks, while light precipitation chances further suppress extremes. Historical data indicate August 30 highs average near 24°C, yet small variations in insolation or wind direction can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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