Official forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate Manila's highest temperature on August 30 will reach 30°C, driven by persistent Southwest Monsoon cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating despite typical tropical August conditions. Recorded observations near midday showed peaks near 28.5°C, with afternoon guidance converging on 29–30°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects this model agreement and historical monsoon suppression of extremes. A sudden clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could push readings to 31°C or higher, while intensified downpours might cap the maximum below that threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder darunter <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,001 Vol.
$30,001 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder darunter <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,001 Vol.
$30,001 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$161 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,205 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,593 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,369 Vol.
100%
31°C
$4,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate Manila's highest temperature on August 30 will reach 30°C, driven by persistent Southwest Monsoon cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating despite typical tropical August conditions. Recorded observations near midday showed peaks near 28.5°C, with afternoon guidance converging on 29–30°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects this model agreement and historical monsoon suppression of extremes. A sudden clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could push readings to 31°C or higher, while intensified downpours might cap the maximum below that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$30,001Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate Manila's highest temperature on August 30 will reach 30°C, driven by persistent Southwest Monsoon cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating despite typical tropical August conditions. Recorded observations near midday showed peaks near 28.5°C, with afternoon guidance converging on 29–30°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects this model agreement and historical monsoon suppression of extremes. A sudden clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could push readings to 31°C or higher, while intensified downpours might cap the maximum below that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30,001Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate Manila's highest temperature on August 30 will reach 30°C, driven by persistent Southwest Monsoon cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating despite typical tropical August conditions. Recorded observations near midday showed peaks near 28.5°C, with afternoon guidance converging on 29–30°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects this model agreement and historical monsoon suppression of extremes. A sudden clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could push readings to 31°C or higher, while intensified downpours might cap the maximum below that threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen