Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila highs on September 1 will likely fall between 29–32 °C amid southwest monsoon flow, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average maxima near 30 °C and high humidity, but current model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in convection allow stronger insolation. Trader emphasis on 31–33 °C outcomes reflects this range of uncertainty in short-range guidance, recent above-average sea-surface temperatures in the western Pacific, and Manila’s urban heat-island effect, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the stabilizing influence of frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and official Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 1. September?
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
34°C 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
34°C 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
4%
30°C
$33 Vol.
12%
31°C
$57 Vol.
27%
32°C
$99 Vol.
37%
33°C
$28 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C oder höher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila highs on September 1 will likely fall between 29–32 °C amid southwest monsoon flow, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average maxima near 30 °C and high humidity, but current model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in convection allow stronger insolation. Trader emphasis on 31–33 °C outcomes reflects this range of uncertainty in short-range guidance, recent above-average sea-surface temperatures in the western Pacific, and Manila’s urban heat-island effect, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the stabilizing influence of frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and official Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$592Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila highs on September 1 will likely fall between 29–32 °C amid southwest monsoon flow, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average maxima near 30 °C and high humidity, but current model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in convection allow stronger insolation. Trader emphasis on 31–33 °C outcomes reflects this range of uncertainty in short-range guidance, recent above-average sea-surface temperatures in the western Pacific, and Manila’s urban heat-island effect, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the stabilizing influence of frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and official Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$592Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila highs on September 1 will likely fall between 29–32 °C amid southwest monsoon flow, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average maxima near 30 °C and high humidity, but current model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in convection allow stronger insolation. Trader emphasis on 31–33 °C outcomes reflects this range of uncertainty in short-range guidance, recent above-average sea-surface temperatures in the western Pacific, and Manila’s urban heat-island effect, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the stabilizing influence of frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and official Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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