Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 30. August?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 Vol.
$54,330 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 Vol.
$54,330 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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