Forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and other models indicates a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Beijing on August 31 under clear skies, light northeast winds around 6–12 km/h, and negligible precipitation. High pressure supports strong daytime radiative heating with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, pushing afternoon peaks near or slightly above the 29°C climatological average. Recent stability following warmer August 30 conditions (around 32°C) and the absence of frontal systems or monsoon influences keep probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on precise boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute wind shifts before official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 31. August?
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
$12,827 Vol.
$12,827 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
$12,827 Vol.
$12,827 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and other models indicates a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Beijing on August 31 under clear skies, light northeast winds around 6–12 km/h, and negligible precipitation. High pressure supports strong daytime radiative heating with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, pushing afternoon peaks near or slightly above the 29°C climatological average. Recent stability following warmer August 30 conditions (around 32°C) and the absence of frontal systems or monsoon influences keep probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on precise boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute wind shifts before official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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