Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 19°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns closely with the long-term average minimum of 19.4°C for the date, with minimal moisture or cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 17–20°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, while no significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 31. August?
18°C 33%
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
33%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 33%
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
13°C or below
$705 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$145 Vol.
1%
15°C
$140 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
33%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$11 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 19°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns closely with the long-term average minimum of 19.4°C for the date, with minimal moisture or cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 17–20°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, while no significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,006Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 19°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns closely with the long-term average minimum of 19.4°C for the date, with minimal moisture or cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 17–20°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, while no significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,006Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 19°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns closely with the long-term average minimum of 19.4°C for the date, with minimal moisture or cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across 17–20°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, while no significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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