Recent short-range forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus place Qingdao's September 1 high near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly flow at 10–20 km/h, reflecting the seasonal transition from peak summer warmth as the East Asian monsoon weakens and cooler continental air intrudes. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 24–25°C provide modest moderation while subsidence and limited moisture limit convective cooling or warming spikes. Trader emphasis on 28–30°C bins aligns with minor model spread favoring brief afternoon peaks if insolation strengthens, though historical early-September maxima average 26–27°C and current runs show low probability of exceeding 30°C absent unexpected ridging. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 1. September?
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
27°C 10%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
25%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C oder höher
8%
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
27°C 10%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
25%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C oder höher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus place Qingdao's September 1 high near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly flow at 10–20 km/h, reflecting the seasonal transition from peak summer warmth as the East Asian monsoon weakens and cooler continental air intrudes. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 24–25°C provide modest moderation while subsidence and limited moisture limit convective cooling or warming spikes. Trader emphasis on 28–30°C bins aligns with minor model spread favoring brief afternoon peaks if insolation strengthens, though historical early-September maxima average 26–27°C and current runs show low probability of exceeding 30°C absent unexpected ridging. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen