**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation. The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 30. August?
27°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$94 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,093 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,365 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,483 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,258 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,123 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation.
The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$21,097Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation.
The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,097Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from aligned forecast models and real-time observations.** Multiple authoritative sources, including Yr, Met Office guidance, and Chinese meteorological summaries, consistently project a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s. Current surface readings hover near 24–26°C, with dew points in the low-20s supporting modest warming before nocturnal cooling sets in. This matches typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 28–29°C but are tempered today by onshore flow and cloud cover limiting insolation. The market-implied 100% probability on 27°C underscores the tight consensus across global and regional models with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike above 27°C from localized heating or measurement variance at official stations, though prevailing conditions make this highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen