Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, have accelerated cooling and positioned minimum temperatures near or below 20°C for Qingdao on September 1. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and model consensus now cluster overnight lows around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-September climatology but reflecting the fresh polar air advection that began in late August. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 16°C reflects uncertainty in local boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread in coastal stations, while the tight clustering of 18–22°C probabilities captures the narrow expected range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 1. September?
16°C or below 96%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
96%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 96%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
96%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, have accelerated cooling and positioned minimum temperatures near or below 20°C for Qingdao on September 1. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and model consensus now cluster overnight lows around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-September climatology but reflecting the fresh polar air advection that began in late August. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 16°C reflects uncertainty in local boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread in coastal stations, while the tight clustering of 18–22°C probabilities captures the narrow expected range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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