Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 24, 2026, project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms, with daytime highs near 32°C and persistent southerly flow limiting nocturnal cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show overnight lows holding at 28–29°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and sea surface temperatures around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. Model consensus and real-time readings underpin the 97.5% market-implied probability for 28°C. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or abrupt wind shift could briefly dip readings toward 27°C, though historical analogs and ongoing conditions make sub-27°C outcomes improbable before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 24. August?
28°C 98%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
$20,934 Vol.
$20,934 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
$20,934 Vol.
$20,934 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,849 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,227 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,476 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5,629 Vol.
98%
29°C
$5,541 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 24, 2026, project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms, with daytime highs near 32°C and persistent southerly flow limiting nocturnal cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show overnight lows holding at 28–29°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and sea surface temperatures around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. Model consensus and real-time readings underpin the 97.5% market-implied probability for 28°C. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or abrupt wind shift could briefly dip readings toward 27°C, though historical analogs and ongoing conditions make sub-27°C outcomes improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$20,934Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 24, 2026, project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms, with daytime highs near 32°C and persistent southerly flow limiting nocturnal cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show overnight lows holding at 28–29°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and sea surface temperatures around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. Model consensus and real-time readings underpin the 97.5% market-implied probability for 28°C. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or abrupt wind shift could briefly dip readings toward 27°C, though historical analogs and ongoing conditions make sub-27°C outcomes improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,934Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 24, 2026, project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms, with daytime highs near 32°C and persistent southerly flow limiting nocturnal cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show overnight lows holding at 28–29°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and sea surface temperatures around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. Model consensus and real-time readings underpin the 97.5% market-implied probability for 28°C. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or abrupt wind shift could briefly dip readings toward 27°C, though historical analogs and ongoing conditions make sub-27°C outcomes improbable before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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