Trader sentiment for rain on August 9, 2026, reflects real-time model consensus on moisture transport, atmospheric instability, and steering patterns. Official guidance from NOAA and national meteorological services highlights monsoon influences driving heavy rainfall potential over parts of Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, alongside scattered convection in subtropical zones. In contrast, drier high-pressure ridges limit precipitation chances across much of the central and western United States, where below-normal rainfall is favored through early August. Key variables include Gulf moisture advection, jet stream positioning, and any tropical wave activity, with short-range ensembles updating frequently on the day of the event. Resolution hinges on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations, making the latest model runs and radar trends the primary near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日哪里会下雨？
8月9日哪里会下雨？
最新
2026-08-10
新加坡
50%
雅加达
49%
孟买
49%
马尼拉
54%
东京
51%
拉各斯
52%
曼谷
50%
香港
10%
首尔（仁川）
47%
台北
57%
科伦坡
49%
达卡
52%
吉隆坡
50%
伦敦
37%
迪拜
95%
圣保罗
50%
悉尼
63%
$1,351 交易量
新加坡
$0 交易量
50%
雅加达
$5 交易量
49%
孟买
$0 交易量
49%
马尼拉
$376 交易量
54%
东京
$1 交易量
51%
拉各斯
$1 交易量
52%
曼谷
$1 交易量
50%
香港
$1 交易量
10%
首尔（仁川）
$56 交易量
47%
台北
$496 交易量
57%
科伦坡
$1 交易量
49%
达卡
$1 交易量
52%
吉隆坡
$1 交易量
50%
伦敦
$181 交易量
37%
迪拜
$98 交易量
95%
圣保罗
$0 交易量
50%
悉尼
$131 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 9, 2026, reflects real-time model consensus on moisture transport, atmospheric instability, and steering patterns. Official guidance from NOAA and national meteorological services highlights monsoon influences driving heavy rainfall potential over parts of Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, alongside scattered convection in subtropical zones. In contrast, drier high-pressure ridges limit precipitation chances across much of the central and western United States, where below-normal rainfall is favored through early August. Key variables include Gulf moisture advection, jet stream positioning, and any tropical wave activity, with short-range ensembles updating frequently on the day of the event. Resolution hinges on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations, making the latest model runs and radar trends the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$1,351结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 9, 2026, reflects real-time model consensus on moisture transport, atmospheric instability, and steering patterns. Official guidance from NOAA and national meteorological services highlights monsoon influences driving heavy rainfall potential over parts of Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, alongside scattered convection in subtropical zones. In contrast, drier high-pressure ridges limit precipitation chances across much of the central and western United States, where below-normal rainfall is favored through early August. Key variables include Gulf moisture advection, jet stream positioning, and any tropical wave activity, with short-range ensembles updating frequently on the day of the event. Resolution hinges on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations, making the latest model runs and radar trends the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$1,351结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTrader sentiment for rain on August 9, 2026, reflects real-time model consensus on moisture transport, atmospheric instability, and steering patterns. Official guidance from NOAA and national meteorological services highlights monsoon influences driving heavy rainfall potential over parts of Southeast Asia, including the Philippines, alongside scattered convection in subtropical zones. In contrast, drier high-pressure ridges limit precipitation chances across much of the central and western United States, where below-normal rainfall is favored through early August. Key variables include Gulf moisture advection, jet stream positioning, and any tropical wave activity, with short-range ensembles updating frequently on the day of the event. Resolution hinges on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations, making the latest model runs and radar trends the primary near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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