Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by eight points. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam secured the Democratic nomination without a contested primary, while Dave Beckwith emerged from the August 4 Republican primary as the GOP challenger. These factors, combined with the district's Northern Virginia suburban demographics and historical voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A national Republican wave, unexpected local economic shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before November 2026, though structural advantages currently limit such scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,608 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,999 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by eight points. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam secured the Democratic nomination without a contested primary, while Dave Beckwith emerged from the August 4 Republican primary as the GOP challenger. These factors, combined with the district's Northern Virginia suburban demographics and historical voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A national Republican wave, unexpected local economic shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before November 2026, though structural advantages currently limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$6,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by eight points. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam secured the Democratic nomination without a contested primary, while Dave Beckwith emerged from the August 4 Republican primary as the GOP challenger. These factors, combined with the district's Northern Virginia suburban demographics and historical voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A national Republican wave, unexpected local economic shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before November 2026, though structural advantages currently limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by eight points. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam secured the Democratic nomination without a contested primary, while Dave Beckwith emerged from the August 4 Republican primary as the GOP challenger. These factors, combined with the district's Northern Virginia suburban demographics and historical voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Democrats. A national Republican wave, unexpected local economic shifts, or major candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before November 2026, though structural advantages currently limit such scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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