Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with 88% in the March primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Harrigan's 2024 victory margin of 57.5%. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented primary but trails in early polling and fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including the district's consistent Republican performance and absence of recent competitive developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a broad national Democratic wave increasing turnout, a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or sustained polling gains by Bell that exceed historical norms for the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
$2,853 交易量
92%
民主党
$3,653 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with 88% in the March primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Harrigan's 2024 victory margin of 57.5%. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented primary but trails in early polling and fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including the district's consistent Republican performance and absence of recent competitive developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a broad national Democratic wave increasing turnout, a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or sustained polling gains by Bell that exceed historical norms for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,506结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with 88% in the March primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Harrigan's 2024 victory margin of 57.5%. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented primary but trails in early polling and fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including the district's consistent Republican performance and absence of recent competitive developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a broad national Democratic wave increasing turnout, a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or sustained polling gains by Bell that exceed historical norms for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,506结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with 88% in the March primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Harrigan's 2024 victory margin of 57.5%. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented primary but trails in early polling and fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including the district's consistent Republican performance and absence of recent competitive developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a broad national Democratic wave increasing turnout, a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or sustained polling gains by Bell that exceed historical norms for the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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