Democratic candidate Bob Brooks holds a polling edge in Pennsylvania’s competitive 7th District, where a late-June survey showed him leading Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie by four points in a narrow-margin seat that Donald Trump carried by less than one point in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary as a firefighter and union leader with strong labor backing and endorsements from party figures, while Mackenzie seeks a second term in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Democratic implied probabilities, consistent with midterm patterns where opposition parties often target recently flipped House seats amid limited additional polling data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,882 交易量
$25,882 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
78%
共和党
17%
$25,882 交易量
$25,882 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,223 交易量
78%
共和党
$3,659 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Bob Brooks holds a polling edge in Pennsylvania’s competitive 7th District, where a late-June survey showed him leading Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie by four points in a narrow-margin seat that Donald Trump carried by less than one point in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary as a firefighter and union leader with strong labor backing and endorsements from party figures, while Mackenzie seeks a second term in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Democratic implied probabilities, consistent with midterm patterns where opposition parties often target recently flipped House seats amid limited additional polling data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$25,882结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Bob Brooks holds a polling edge in Pennsylvania’s competitive 7th District, where a late-June survey showed him leading Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie by four points in a narrow-margin seat that Donald Trump carried by less than one point in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary as a firefighter and union leader with strong labor backing and endorsements from party figures, while Mackenzie seeks a second term in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Democratic implied probabilities, consistent with midterm patterns where opposition parties often target recently flipped House seats amid limited additional polling data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,882结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETDemocratic candidate Bob Brooks holds a polling edge in Pennsylvania’s competitive 7th District, where a late-June survey showed him leading Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie by four points in a narrow-margin seat that Donald Trump carried by less than one point in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary as a firefighter and union leader with strong labor backing and endorsements from party figures, while Mackenzie seeks a second term in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Democratic implied probabilities, consistent with midterm patterns where opposition parties often target recently flipped House seats amid limited additional polling data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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