High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70–75% 39%
65–70% 25.9%
低于45% 22.4%
45-50% 14.9%
$1,464 交易量
$1,464 交易量
2026-08-29
低于45%
22%
45-50%
15%
50–55%
7%
55–60%
11%
60–65%
6%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
39%
75-80%
-
80-85%
51%
85%+
2%
70–75% 39%
65–70% 25.9%
低于45% 22.4%
45-50% 14.9%
$1,464 交易量
$1,464 交易量
2026-08-29
低于45%
$99 交易量
22%
45-50%
$60 交易量
15%
50–55%
$78 交易量
7%
55–60%
$18 交易量
11%
60–65%
$18 交易量
6%
65–70%
$9 交易量
26%
70–75%
$15 交易量
39%
75-80%
$78 交易量
-
80-85%
$255 交易量
51%
85%+
$836 交易量
2%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,464结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETA referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,464结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETHigh advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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