**Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a trader consensus edge in the NC-11 race primarily because incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards withdrew in August 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into alleged staff misconduct, prompting Republicans to select state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as his replacement.** The district remains Republican-leaning, with a Cook PVI of R+5 and prior Trump margins near 10–15 points, yet analysts have rated it a toss-up or lean Republican due to Ager’s strong local profile as a fourth-generation farmer, superior fundraising, and family political ties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats, growth in unaffiliated voters, and the late candidate switch have narrowed the GOP advantage. Upcoming general election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,535 交易量
$15,535 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
66%
共和党
36%
$15,535 交易量
$15,535 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,147 交易量
66%
共和党
$8,388 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a trader consensus edge in the NC-11 race primarily because incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards withdrew in August 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into alleged staff misconduct, prompting Republicans to select state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as his replacement.**
The district remains Republican-leaning, with a Cook PVI of R+5 and prior Trump margins near 10–15 points, yet analysts have rated it a toss-up or lean Republican due to Ager’s strong local profile as a fourth-generation farmer, superior fundraising, and family political ties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats, growth in unaffiliated voters, and the late candidate switch have narrowed the GOP advantage. Upcoming general election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$15,535结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a trader consensus edge in the NC-11 race primarily because incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards withdrew in August 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into alleged staff misconduct, prompting Republicans to select state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as his replacement.**
The district remains Republican-leaning, with a Cook PVI of R+5 and prior Trump margins near 10–15 points, yet analysts have rated it a toss-up or lean Republican due to Ager’s strong local profile as a fourth-generation farmer, superior fundraising, and family political ties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats, growth in unaffiliated voters, and the late candidate switch have narrowed the GOP advantage. Upcoming general election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,535结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET**Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a trader consensus edge in the NC-11 race primarily because incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards withdrew in August 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into alleged staff misconduct, prompting Republicans to select state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as his replacement.** The district remains Republican-leaning, with a Cook PVI of R+5 and prior Trump margins near 10–15 points, yet analysts have rated it a toss-up or lean Republican due to Ager’s strong local profile as a fourth-generation farmer, superior fundraising, and family political ties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats, growth in unaffiliated voters, and the late candidate switch have narrowed the GOP advantage. Upcoming general election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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