Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, were formally postponed from May 2026 to March 2027 through term extensions approved in early 2026 amid recurring logistical, security, and political hurdles. This pattern of delays, seen in prior cycles including the 2024 presidential vote, has produced a strong trader consensus that no parliamentary contest will occur before 2027. Key influences include institutional extensions for the House of Representatives, preparations tied to the ruling Waddani-led administration, and opposition dynamics involving Kulmiye and UCID. While further extensions remain possible, any acceleration would require rapid resolution of outstanding framework issues within the current term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 95%
正义与福利党(UCID) 3.3%
瓦达尼 2.8%
库尔米耶 2.6%
$94,834 交易量
$94,834 交易量

2027年前没有选举
95%

正义与福利党(UCID)
3%

瓦达尼
3%

库尔米耶
3%
2027年前没有选举 95%
正义与福利党(UCID) 3.3%
瓦达尼 2.8%
库尔米耶 2.6%
$94,834 交易量
$94,834 交易量

2027年前没有选举
95%

正义与福利党(UCID)
3%

瓦达尼
3%

库尔米耶
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, were formally postponed from May 2026 to March 2027 through term extensions approved in early 2026 amid recurring logistical, security, and political hurdles. This pattern of delays, seen in prior cycles including the 2024 presidential vote, has produced a strong trader consensus that no parliamentary contest will occur before 2027. Key influences include institutional extensions for the House of Representatives, preparations tied to the ruling Waddani-led administration, and opposition dynamics involving Kulmiye and UCID. While further extensions remain possible, any acceleration would require rapid resolution of outstanding framework issues within the current term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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