Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a steady lead near 29 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24 percent and the PLQ at 20 percent, with support concentrated among francophone voters that favors stronger seat outcomes under Quebec’s electoral map. The election was called for October 5 after Premier Christine Fréchette dissolved the National Assembly on August 27, and voting intentions have remained largely stable through early September despite regional variations, including PCQ strength in the Quebec City area. Aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ an 88 percent probability of securing the most seats, aligning with market pricing that treats a PQ plurality or minority government as the consensus outcome while assigning limited chances to other parties. Key campaign factors include leadership transitions, cost-of-living concerns, and the PQ’s timeline for any sovereignty referendum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 74%
魁人党 24%
魁北克自由党 2.6%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$890,630 交易量
$890,630 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
74%
魁人党
24%
魁北克自由党
3%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁人党 74%
魁人党 24%
魁北克自由党 2.6%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$890,630 交易量
$890,630 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
$119,208 交易量
74%
魁人党
$136,971 交易量
24%
魁北克自由党
$123,789 交易量
3%
魁北克保守党
$246,617 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,522 交易量
<1%
魁团
$106,523 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a steady lead near 29 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24 percent and the PLQ at 20 percent, with support concentrated among francophone voters that favors stronger seat outcomes under Quebec’s electoral map. The election was called for October 5 after Premier Christine Fréchette dissolved the National Assembly on August 27, and voting intentions have remained largely stable through early September despite regional variations, including PCQ strength in the Quebec City area. Aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ an 88 percent probability of securing the most seats, aligning with market pricing that treats a PQ plurality or minority government as the consensus outcome while assigning limited chances to other parties. Key campaign factors include leadership transitions, cost-of-living concerns, and the PQ’s timeline for any sovereignty referendum.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$890,630结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a steady lead near 29 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24 percent and the PLQ at 20 percent, with support concentrated among francophone voters that favors stronger seat outcomes under Quebec’s electoral map. The election was called for October 5 after Premier Christine Fréchette dissolved the National Assembly on August 27, and voting intentions have remained largely stable through early September despite regional variations, including PCQ strength in the Quebec City area. Aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ an 88 percent probability of securing the most seats, aligning with market pricing that treats a PQ plurality or minority government as the consensus outcome while assigning limited chances to other parties. Key campaign factors include leadership transitions, cost-of-living concerns, and the PQ’s timeline for any sovereignty referendum.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$890,630结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRecent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a steady lead near 29 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24 percent and the PLQ at 20 percent, with support concentrated among francophone voters that favors stronger seat outcomes under Quebec’s electoral map. The election was called for October 5 after Premier Christine Fréchette dissolved the National Assembly on August 27, and voting intentions have remained largely stable through early September despite regional variations, including PCQ strength in the Quebec City area. Aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ an 88 percent probability of securing the most seats, aligning with market pricing that treats a PQ plurality or minority government as the consensus outcome while assigning limited chances to other parties. Key campaign factors include leadership transitions, cost-of-living concerns, and the PQ’s timeline for any sovereignty referendum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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