Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. Suozzi's moderate profile, strong fundraising, and prior 2024 victory by a narrow margin in this Long Island-based seat have anchored trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited recent polling movement. LiPetri's primary win cleared the Republican field but has not yet shifted the broader competitive dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,095 交易量
$11,095 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
86%
共和党
15%
$11,095 交易量
$11,095 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$4,266 交易量
86%
共和党
$6,828 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. Suozzi's moderate profile, strong fundraising, and prior 2024 victory by a narrow margin in this Long Island-based seat have anchored trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited recent polling movement. LiPetri's primary win cleared the Republican field but has not yet shifted the broader competitive dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$11,095结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. Suozzi's moderate profile, strong fundraising, and prior 2024 victory by a narrow margin in this Long Island-based seat have anchored trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited recent polling movement. LiPetri's primary win cleared the Republican field but has not yet shifted the broader competitive dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,095结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. Suozzi's moderate profile, strong fundraising, and prior 2024 victory by a narrow margin in this Long Island-based seat have anchored trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited recent polling movement. LiPetri's primary win cleared the Republican field but has not yet shifted the broader competitive dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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