Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable subtropical high with southeasterly flow and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 26, supporting an overnight low near 27°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows cluster around 26–27°C amid high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Recent days have shown similar readings under cloudy-to-overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, with no approaching typhoon or frontal system to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement, though minor revisions in the final 48-hour guidance or localized rain timing could shift the exact minimum within the narrow historical range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日上海最低气温?
27°C 47%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
47%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 47%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
47%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable subtropical high with southeasterly flow and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 26, supporting an overnight low near 27°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows cluster around 26–27°C amid high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Recent days have shown similar readings under cloudy-to-overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, with no approaching typhoon or frontal system to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement, though minor revisions in the final 48-hour guidance or localized rain timing could shift the exact minimum within the narrow historical range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题