Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海最低气温？
8月16日上海最低气温？
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
20°C或以下
$22 交易量
1%
21°C
$27 交易量
1%
22°C
$27 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$41 交易量
9%
25°C
$0 交易量
30%
26°C
$17 交易量
39%
27°C
$16 交易量
15%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$27 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$204结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$204结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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