Current National Weather Service and model consensus indicates Miami's overnight low on August 4 will settle in the 76-77°F range, driven by persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with subtropical August climatology where daily lows typically range 78-81°F yet can dip modestly under cloud cover or weak frontal influences. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official Miami International Airport observations resolving within this narrow band. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push the minimum above 78°F, while an unexpected rain-cooled air mass might test the lower edge, though such shifts remain low-probability based on latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日迈阿密最低气温？
8月4日迈阿密最低气温？
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$9,690 交易量
$9,690 交易量
2026-08-04
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
95%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$9,690 交易量
$9,690 交易量
2026-08-04
69°F or below
$567 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$591 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$308 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$402 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$777 交易量
95%
78-79°F
$2,572 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,423 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$427 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus indicates Miami's overnight low on August 4 will settle in the 76-77°F range, driven by persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with subtropical August climatology where daily lows typically range 78-81°F yet can dip modestly under cloud cover or weak frontal influences. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official Miami International Airport observations resolving within this narrow band. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push the minimum above 78°F, while an unexpected rain-cooled air mass might test the lower edge, though such shifts remain low-probability based on latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
交易量
$9,690结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus indicates Miami's overnight low on August 4 will settle in the 76-77°F range, driven by persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with subtropical August climatology where daily lows typically range 78-81°F yet can dip modestly under cloud cover or weak frontal influences. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official Miami International Airport observations resolving within this narrow band. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push the minimum above 78°F, while an unexpected rain-cooled air mass might test the lower edge, though such shifts remain low-probability based on latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,690结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus indicates Miami's overnight low on August 4 will settle in the 76-77°F range, driven by persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with subtropical August climatology where daily lows typically range 78-81°F yet can dip modestly under cloud cover or weak frontal influences. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official Miami International Airport observations resolving within this narrow band. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push the minimum above 78°F, while an unexpected rain-cooled air mass might test the lower edge, though such shifts remain low-probability based on latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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