**Trader consensus on an 80–81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, reflects typical mid-August subtropical conditions.** Persistent ridging maintained southeasterly flow with dew points in the upper 70s, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight minima near or slightly above the 78°F climatological normal. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance consistently projected lows of 78–82°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with recent daily reports showing minima in the low 80s. This skin-in-the-game positioning incorporates the low probability of significant cold advection or enhanced sea-breeze effects in peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonably strong frontal boundary or model error in boundary-layer mixing, both rare for the region in mid-August and unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrow 80–81°F bracket once official observations finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日迈阿密最低气温?
80-81°F 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
$8,346 交易量
$8,346 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
$8,346 交易量
$8,346 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on an 80–81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, reflects typical mid-August subtropical conditions.** Persistent ridging maintained southeasterly flow with dew points in the upper 70s, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight minima near or slightly above the 78°F climatological normal. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance consistently projected lows of 78–82°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with recent daily reports showing minima in the low 80s. This skin-in-the-game positioning incorporates the low probability of significant cold advection or enhanced sea-breeze effects in peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonably strong frontal boundary or model error in boundary-layer mixing, both rare for the region in mid-August and unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrow 80–81°F bracket once official observations finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题