Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日香港最低气温?
28°C 40%
27°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
31%
28°C
40%
29°C
12%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
31%
28°C
40%
29°C
12%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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