Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日开普敦最低气温？
8月26日开普敦最低气温？
8°C或以下 90%
18°C或更高 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
90%
9°C
24%
10°C
29%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
32%
15°C
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C或更高
59%
8°C或以下 90%
18°C或更高 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
9°C
$0 交易量
24%
10°C
$0 交易量
29%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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