Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have stabilized near 4.73 percent amid sticky inflation and a patient Federal Reserve policy stance. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.5 percent, while the federal funds target remains 3.50–3.75 percent following a divided July FOMC vote. Traders price in limited near-term rate cuts given resilient labor data and fiscal pressures that support elevated term premiums, pushing long-term yields higher than earlier 2026 forecasts. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated projections, plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, represent key catalysts that could shift market-implied paths for yields through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$286,324 交易量
2026-12-31
4.8%
69%
5.0%
35%
5.2%
6%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
6%
$286,324 交易量
4.8%
$59,319 交易量
69%
5.0%
$81,291 交易量
35%
5.2%
$26,278 交易量
6%
5.5%
$5,832 交易量
7%
5.7%
$4,234 交易量
6%
6.0%
$3,084 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have stabilized near 4.73 percent amid sticky inflation and a patient Federal Reserve policy stance. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.5 percent, while the federal funds target remains 3.50–3.75 percent following a divided July FOMC vote. Traders price in limited near-term rate cuts given resilient labor data and fiscal pressures that support elevated term premiums, pushing long-term yields higher than earlier 2026 forecasts. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated projections, plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, represent key catalysts that could shift market-implied paths for yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$286,324结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have stabilized near 4.73 percent amid sticky inflation and a patient Federal Reserve policy stance. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.5 percent, while the federal funds target remains 3.50–3.75 percent following a divided July FOMC vote. Traders price in limited near-term rate cuts given resilient labor data and fiscal pressures that support elevated term premiums, pushing long-term yields higher than earlier 2026 forecasts. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated projections, plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, represent key catalysts that could shift market-implied paths for yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$286,324结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have stabilized near 4.73 percent amid sticky inflation and a patient Federal Reserve policy stance. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.5 percent, while the federal funds target remains 3.50–3.75 percent following a divided July FOMC vote. Traders price in limited near-term rate cuts given resilient labor data and fiscal pressures that support elevated term premiums, pushing long-term yields higher than earlier 2026 forecasts. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated projections, plus upcoming CPI and employment releases, represent key catalysts that could shift market-implied paths for yields through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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