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icon for 在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?

在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?

icon for 在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?

在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?

1 28%

2 23%

0 16%

3 16%

Polymarket
最新

1 28%

2 23%

0 16%

3 16%

Polymarket
最新

0

$701 交易量

16%

1

$31 交易量

28%

2

$56 交易量

23%

3

$146 交易量

16%

4人及以上

$65 交易量

31%

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$999
结束日期
2027-01-27
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$999
结束日期
2027-01-27
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4人及以上",概率为 31%,其次是"1",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 31¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 31%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?"的当前领先者是"4人及以上",概率为 31%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 31%。紧随其后的结果是"1",概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。