Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议?
1 28%
2 23%
0 16%
3 16%
0
16%
1
28%
2
23%
3
16%
4人及以上
31%
1 28%
2 23%
0 16%
3 16%
0
16%
1
28%
2
23%
3
16%
4人及以上
31%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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