Recent JMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, humid air into the Kanto region, supporting afternoon highs near 33–34 °C on 26 August under partly cloudy skies with only modest convective inhibition. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C; historical late-August normals of ~31 °C underscore the anomalously warm pattern currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and the 25 August evening briefing will provide the next key data points for refining the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日东京气温最高？
8月26日东京气温最高？
34°C 36%
35°C 31%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
20%
34°C
36%
35°C
31%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
35°C 31%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C
$5 交易量
6%
32°C
$228 交易量
8%
33°C
$5 交易量
20%
34°C
$107 交易量
36%
35°C
$15 交易量
31%
36°C
$163 交易量
11%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, humid air into the Kanto region, supporting afternoon highs near 33–34 °C on 26 August under partly cloudy skies with only modest convective inhibition. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C; historical late-August normals of ~31 °C underscore the anomalously warm pattern currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and the 25 August evening briefing will provide the next key data points for refining the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$528结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, humid air into the Kanto region, supporting afternoon highs near 33–34 °C on 26 August under partly cloudy skies with only modest convective inhibition. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C; historical late-August normals of ~31 °C underscore the anomalously warm pattern currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and the 25 August evening briefing will provide the next key data points for refining the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$528结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent JMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, humid air into the Kanto region, supporting afternoon highs near 33–34 °C on 26 August under partly cloudy skies with only modest convective inhibition. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any scattered showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C; historical late-August normals of ~31 °C underscore the anomalously warm pattern currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and the 25 August evening briefing will provide the next key data points for refining the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题