Recent forecast guidance points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 19, with afternoon convection and scattered thundershowers likely moderating extremes under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from South China Sea moisture, combined with urban heat effects and variable cloud cover, creates narrow margins between 32–34°C outcomes. Historical August daily maxima average 32°C, though brief clear periods can push readings 1–2°C higher before storms develop. Short-range model runs show minor differences in the timing of sea-breeze convergence and any tropical wave influences, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh the chance of isolated stronger heating versus widespread cloud suppression.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日深圳气温最高？
8月19日深圳气温最高？
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
28°C
$603 交易量
<1%
29°C
$275 交易量
1%
30°C
$142 交易量
5%
31°C
$183 交易量
8%
32°C
$1,530 交易量
22%
33°C
$468 交易量
32%
34°C
$233 交易量
24%
35°C
$523 交易量
9%
36°C
$109 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$93 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 19, with afternoon convection and scattered thundershowers likely moderating extremes under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from South China Sea moisture, combined with urban heat effects and variable cloud cover, creates narrow margins between 32–34°C outcomes. Historical August daily maxima average 32°C, though brief clear periods can push readings 1–2°C higher before storms develop. Short-range model runs show minor differences in the timing of sea-breeze convergence and any tropical wave influences, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh the chance of isolated stronger heating versus widespread cloud suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,232结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 19, with afternoon convection and scattered thundershowers likely moderating extremes under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from South China Sea moisture, combined with urban heat effects and variable cloud cover, creates narrow margins between 32–34°C outcomes. Historical August daily maxima average 32°C, though brief clear periods can push readings 1–2°C higher before storms develop. Short-range model runs show minor differences in the timing of sea-breeze convergence and any tropical wave influences, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh the chance of isolated stronger heating versus widespread cloud suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,232结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast guidance points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 19, with afternoon convection and scattered thundershowers likely moderating extremes under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from South China Sea moisture, combined with urban heat effects and variable cloud cover, creates narrow margins between 32–34°C outcomes. Historical August daily maxima average 32°C, though brief clear periods can push readings 1–2°C higher before storms develop. Short-range model runs show minor differences in the timing of sea-breeze convergence and any tropical wave influences, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh the chance of isolated stronger heating versus widespread cloud suppression.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题