Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and others indicate Moscow highs on August 7 around 30–33°C amid a warm air mass and possible late-day thunderstorms that could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C reflects model agreement on near-normal late-summer conditions after early August anomalies of +3–4°C above the 21°C monthly mean, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any convective activity and local measurement at official stations. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, though small shifts in steering patterns or timing could tip the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C bins dominating the order book.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日莫斯科最高气温?
30°C 38%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C或以下 9%
28°C或以下
9%
29°C
28%
30°C
38%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃或更高
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C或以下 9%
28°C或以下
9%
29°C
28%
30°C
38%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and others indicate Moscow highs on August 7 around 30–33°C amid a warm air mass and possible late-day thunderstorms that could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 29–31°C reflects model agreement on near-normal late-summer conditions after early August anomalies of +3–4°C above the 21°C monthly mean, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any convective activity and local measurement at official stations. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, though small shifts in steering patterns or timing could tip the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C bins dominating the order book.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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