Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日米兰的最高温度？
8月16日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C or below
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
30%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C or below
$376 交易量
2%
32°C
$54 交易量
5%
33°C
$367 交易量
15%
34°C
$176 交易量
39%
35°C
$413 交易量
30%
36°C
$42 交易量
9%
37°C
$11 交易量
3%
38°C
$15 交易量
1%
39°C
$17 交易量
<1%
40°C
$31 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$185 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,687结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,687结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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