Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
32°C 33%
31°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
$58 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$57 交易量
15%
31°C
$25 交易量
25%
32°C
$65 交易量
33%
33°C
$0 交易量
17%
34°C
$10 交易量
4%
35°C
$5 交易量
6%
36°C
$5 交易量
3%
37°C
$5 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$245结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$245结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTraders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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