Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 26°C in London on August 26, with sunny intervals supporting modest warming amid a late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and subtle shifts in warm-air advection from the south. These factors can easily swing the daily peak by 1–2°C, consistent with typical late-August variability and the resolution criteria tied to official London stations. Recent days have featured highs near 24–26°C, reinforcing the narrow range while underscoring how small changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日伦敦气温最高?
26°C 25%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 25%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 26°C in London on August 26, with sunny intervals supporting modest warming amid a late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and subtle shifts in warm-air advection from the south. These factors can easily swing the daily peak by 1–2°C, consistent with typical late-August variability and the resolution criteria tied to official London stations. Recent days have featured highs near 24–26°C, reinforcing the narrow range while underscoring how small changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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