Recent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日开普敦气温最高？
8月18日开普敦气温最高？
18°C 50%
19°C 30%
17°C 18%
16°C 5%
最新
$13,909 交易量
最新
$13,909 交易量
2026-08-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
50%
19°C
30%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 30%
17°C 18%
16°C 5%
最新
$13,909 交易量
最新
$13,909 交易量
2026-08-18
13°C或以下
$684 交易量
<1%
14°C
$350 交易量
<1%
15°C
$851 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,914 交易量
5%
17°C
$2,477 交易量
18%
18°C
$2,662 交易量
50%
19°C
$1,612 交易量
30%
20°C
$1,573 交易量
1%
21°C
$842 交易量
<1%
22°C
$815 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,909结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,909结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题