Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
$74,606 交易量
$74,606 交易量
2026-12-30
是
2% 機率
$74,606 交易量
$74,606 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
交易量
$74,606結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$74,606結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETIran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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