Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining one from January through late May 2026—the longest on record—initially to curb information flow amid protests over economic conditions and later extended after U.S. and Israeli strikes. These measures rely on centralized routing controls, throttling, and the state-run National Information Network (NIN) for whitelisted domestic access while restricting global connectivity and VPNs. Partial restoration began May 26 under presidential order, though connectivity remains limited, social platforms blocked, and tiered “Internet Pro” access discussed for select users. Trader assessments of future blackouts reflect ongoing geopolitical risks, protest potential tied to economic pressures, and the regime’s established pattern of using communications controls during crises, balanced against documented economic costs and restoration precedents.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$245,757 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
25%
12月31日
29%
$245,757 交易量
9月30日
$4,910 交易量
25%
12月31日
$11,396 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining one from January through late May 2026—the longest on record—initially to curb information flow amid protests over economic conditions and later extended after U.S. and Israeli strikes. These measures rely on centralized routing controls, throttling, and the state-run National Information Network (NIN) for whitelisted domestic access while restricting global connectivity and VPNs. Partial restoration began May 26 under presidential order, though connectivity remains limited, social platforms blocked, and tiered “Internet Pro” access discussed for select users. Trader assessments of future blackouts reflect ongoing geopolitical risks, protest potential tied to economic pressures, and the regime’s established pattern of using communications controls during crises, balanced against documented economic costs and restoration precedents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$245,757結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining one from January through late May 2026—the longest on record—initially to curb information flow amid protests over economic conditions and later extended after U.S. and Israeli strikes. These measures rely on centralized routing controls, throttling, and the state-run National Information Network (NIN) for whitelisted domestic access while restricting global connectivity and VPNs. Partial restoration began May 26 under presidential order, though connectivity remains limited, social platforms blocked, and tiered “Internet Pro” access discussed for select users. Trader assessments of future blackouts reflect ongoing geopolitical risks, protest potential tied to economic pressures, and the regime’s established pattern of using communications controls during crises, balanced against documented economic costs and restoration precedents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$245,757結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETIranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining one from January through late May 2026—the longest on record—initially to curb information flow amid protests over economic conditions and later extended after U.S. and Israeli strikes. These measures rely on centralized routing controls, throttling, and the state-run National Information Network (NIN) for whitelisted domestic access while restricting global connectivity and VPNs. Partial restoration began May 26 under presidential order, though connectivity remains limited, social platforms blocked, and tiered “Internet Pro” access discussed for select users. Trader assessments of future blackouts reflect ongoing geopolitical risks, protest potential tied to economic pressures, and the regime’s established pattern of using communications controls during crises, balanced against documented economic costs and restoration precedents.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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