**Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to hospitalization and treatment for depression.** He resumed voting and public duties, stated he felt healthier and ready to continue his work, and won his June primary unopposed. No subsequent announcements, statements, or credible reports have indicated plans to resign or leave office before the term ends in January 2027. Kean continues as the Republican nominee in New Jersey’s competitive 7th district, facing Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any triggering developments such as health setbacks, scandals, or official departures that would alter his incumbency status in the current Congress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
12% 機率
最新
最新
2027-01-03
是
12% 機率
最新
最新
2027-01-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to hospitalization and treatment for depression.** He resumed voting and public duties, stated he felt healthier and ready to continue his work, and won his June primary unopposed. No subsequent announcements, statements, or credible reports have indicated plans to resign or leave office before the term ends in January 2027. Kean continues as the Republican nominee in New Jersey’s competitive 7th district, facing Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any triggering developments such as health setbacks, scandals, or official departures that would alter his incumbency status in the current Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$164結束日期
2027-01-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to hospitalization and treatment for depression.** He resumed voting and public duties, stated he felt healthier and ready to continue his work, and won his June primary unopposed. No subsequent announcements, statements, or credible reports have indicated plans to resign or leave office before the term ends in January 2027. Kean continues as the Republican nominee in New Jersey’s competitive 7th district, facing Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any triggering developments such as health setbacks, scandals, or official departures that would alter his incumbency status in the current Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$164結束日期
2027-01-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET**Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to hospitalization and treatment for depression.** He resumed voting and public duties, stated he felt healthier and ready to continue his work, and won his June primary unopposed. No subsequent announcements, statements, or credible reports have indicated plans to resign or leave office before the term ends in January 2027. Kean continues as the Republican nominee in New Jersey’s competitive 7th district, facing Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any triggering developments such as health setbacks, scandals, or official departures that would alter his incumbency status in the current Congress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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