Recent rejections of Pedro Castillo’s pardon requests by Peru’s Ministry of Justice in July 2026 under interim President José María Balcázar, followed by explicit statements from Justice Minister Álvarez in August 2026 declaring any clemency “impossible” under President Keiko Fujimori’s administration, have reinforced trader expectations. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year sentence for rebellion tied to the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the current government viewing release efforts as lacking legal or political basis. These confirmed procedural outcomes and institutional positions within the 2026 resolution window anchor the strong consensus against a pardon by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於16% 機率
$42,987 交易量
$42,987 交易量
2026-12-30
16% 機率
$42,987 交易量
$42,987 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections of Pedro Castillo’s pardon requests by Peru’s Ministry of Justice in July 2026 under interim President José María Balcázar, followed by explicit statements from Justice Minister Álvarez in August 2026 declaring any clemency “impossible” under President Keiko Fujimori’s administration, have reinforced trader expectations. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year sentence for rebellion tied to the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the current government viewing release efforts as lacking legal or political basis. These confirmed procedural outcomes and institutional positions within the 2026 resolution window anchor the strong consensus against a pardon by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$42,987結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections of Pedro Castillo’s pardon requests by Peru’s Ministry of Justice in July 2026 under interim President José María Balcázar, followed by explicit statements from Justice Minister Álvarez in August 2026 declaring any clemency “impossible” under President Keiko Fujimori’s administration, have reinforced trader expectations. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year sentence for rebellion tied to the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the current government viewing release efforts as lacking legal or political basis. These confirmed procedural outcomes and institutional positions within the 2026 resolution window anchor the strong consensus against a pardon by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$42,987結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent rejections of Pedro Castillo’s pardon requests by Peru’s Ministry of Justice in July 2026 under interim President José María Balcázar, followed by explicit statements from Justice Minister Álvarez in August 2026 declaring any clemency “impossible” under President Keiko Fujimori’s administration, have reinforced trader expectations. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year sentence for rebellion tied to the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the current government viewing release efforts as lacking legal or political basis. These confirmed procedural outcomes and institutional positions within the 2026 resolution window anchor the strong consensus against a pardon by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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