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icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？
政治·比比

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？

icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？
政治·比比

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？

$477,873 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$477,873 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$6,855 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog has prioritized mediation toward a plea deal in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial rather than acting on the prime minister's December 2025 pardon request, according to statements from April 2026. The Ministry of Justice pardons department issued a March 2026 opinion declining to recommend clemency without a conviction, admission of guilt, or resignation, citing the lack of precedent for a mid-trial pardon. U.S. President Trump has repeatedly urged Herzog to grant immediate relief so Netanyahu can focus on national security matters including Iran policy. Trader pricing reflects these procedural barriers and the requirement for formal conditions under Israeli law, with limited near-term catalysts beyond ongoing trial developments or coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$477,873
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog has prioritized mediation toward a plea deal in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial rather than acting on the prime minister's December 2025 pardon request, according to statements from April 2026. The Ministry of Justice pardons department issued a March 2026 opinion declining to recommend clemency without a conviction, admission of guilt, or resignation, citing the lack of precedent for a mid-trial pardon. U.S. President Trump has repeatedly urged Herzog to grant immediate relief so Netanyahu can focus on national security matters including Iran policy. Trader pricing reflects these procedural barriers and the requirement for formal conditions under Israeli law, with limited near-term catalysts beyond ongoing trial developments or coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$477,873
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 7%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" has generated $477.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" is "12月31日" at just 7%, with "6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.