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icon for 金正恩在2026年訪問美國?

金正恩在2026年訪問美國?

icon for 金正恩在2026年訪問美國?

金正恩在2026年訪問美國?

3% 機率
Polymarket
最新

3% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus on a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026 rests on the absence of any announced itinerary, logistical precedents, or diplomatic signals favoring travel to American soil.** North Korean leaders have historically avoided extended overseas trips outside tightly controlled regional summits, and past Trump-Kim engagements occurred in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ rather than the US. Recent developments, including Trump’s reported push for an Asia-based meeting possibly tied to the November APEC summit in China and scaled-back US-South Korea exercises as a gesture, center on potential leader-level contact outside US territory. North Korea’s continued missile activity and insistence on nuclear-state recognition further limit prospects for a high-profile US visit. While late diplomatic shifts or health-related developments could theoretically alter timing, structural and security constraints sustain the strong market view that such travel will not occur before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$64
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus on a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026 rests on the absence of any announced itinerary, logistical precedents, or diplomatic signals favoring travel to American soil.** North Korean leaders have historically avoided extended overseas trips outside tightly controlled regional summits, and past Trump-Kim engagements occurred in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ rather than the US. Recent developments, including Trump’s reported push for an Asia-based meeting possibly tied to the November APEC summit in China and scaled-back US-South Korea exercises as a gesture, center on potential leader-level contact outside US territory. North Korea’s continued missile activity and insistence on nuclear-state recognition further limit prospects for a high-profile US visit. While late diplomatic shifts or health-related developments could theoretically alter timing, structural and security constraints sustain the strong market view that such travel will not occur before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$64
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"金正恩在2026年訪問美國?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "金正恩將於2026年訪問美國?" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"金正恩在2026年訪問美國?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "金正恩在2026年訪問美國?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "金正恩在2026年訪問美國?" is "金正恩將於2026年訪問美國?" at just 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "金正恩在2026年訪問美國?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.