Republican incumbent Brad Finstad, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with minimal opposition, holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 17 points. Democrats last won the seat in 2016, and their nominee, high school teacher Jake Johnson, emerged from a competitive primary but faces the typical challenges of challenging an entrenched incumbent in a rural and southern Minnesota district that leans Republican. The November 3 general election timing and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep the race positioned as a likely Republican hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district's consistent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,311 交易量
$28,311 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
23%
$28,311 交易量
$28,311 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$10,387 交易量
63%
Democratic Party
$17,924 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with minimal opposition, holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 17 points. Democrats last won the seat in 2016, and their nominee, high school teacher Jake Johnson, emerged from a competitive primary but faces the typical challenges of challenging an entrenched incumbent in a rural and southern Minnesota district that leans Republican. The November 3 general election timing and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep the race positioned as a likely Republican hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district's consistent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,311結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with minimal opposition, holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 17 points. Democrats last won the seat in 2016, and their nominee, high school teacher Jake Johnson, emerged from a competitive primary but faces the typical challenges of challenging an entrenched incumbent in a rural and southern Minnesota district that leans Republican. The November 3 general election timing and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep the race positioned as a likely Republican hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district's consistent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,311結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with minimal opposition, holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 17 points. Democrats last won the seat in 2016, and their nominee, high school teacher Jake Johnson, emerged from a competitive primary but faces the typical challenges of challenging an entrenched incumbent in a rural and southern Minnesota district that leans Republican. The November 3 general election timing and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep the race positioned as a likely Republican hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district's consistent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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