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icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

$142,195 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$142,195 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$53,595 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mahmoud Abbas, the 91-year-old Palestinian Authority president and Fatah chairman who has held office since 2005 without facing re-election, continues to shape leadership transition dynamics through institutional maneuvers.** In 2026 he appointed Hussein al-Sheikh as deputy and interim successor in case of incapacity, issued a draft constitution aimed at formal state structures, and scheduled the first legislative elections in two decades for November 28 while signaling presidential voting for 2027. Internal Fatah conferences elevated his son Yasser to the Central Committee amid rivalries involving figures such as Jibril Rajoub and imprisoned Marwan Barghouti, while polls reflect widespread public desire for change. Persistent questions surround election implementation, given repeated past postponements, financial pressures on the PA, and external diplomatic constraints, all of which traders weigh against Abbas’s demonstrated control over Fatah and PLO bodies when assessing removal timelines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,195
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mahmoud Abbas, the 91-year-old Palestinian Authority president and Fatah chairman who has held office since 2005 without facing re-election, continues to shape leadership transition dynamics through institutional maneuvers.** In 2026 he appointed Hussein al-Sheikh as deputy and interim successor in case of incapacity, issued a draft constitution aimed at formal state structures, and scheduled the first legislative elections in two decades for November 28 while signaling presidential voting for 2027. Internal Fatah conferences elevated his son Yasser to the Central Committee amid rivalries involving figures such as Jibril Rajoub and imprisoned Marwan Barghouti, while polls reflect widespread public desire for change. Persistent questions surround election implementation, given repeated past postponements, financial pressures on the PA, and external diplomatic constraints, all of which traders weigh against Abbas’s demonstrated control over Fatah and PLO bodies when assessing removal timelines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,195
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 13%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" has generated $142.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is "12月31日" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.