Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025 for a standard six-year term, securing broad cross-factional support that ended a prolonged vacancy. As of August 2026, no legislative initiatives, public campaigns, or shifts in parliamentary coalitions have emerged to challenge his tenure or trigger early removal procedures. Recent diplomatic activity, including his July 2026 White House meetings with U.S. officials focused on Israeli withdrawal, ceasefire implementation, and state authority over armed groups, has instead reinforced his institutional role. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.9% “No” price aligns with the structural stability of the fixed term and the lack of any verified political or constitutional catalysts that could alter the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$32,412 交易量
$32,412 交易量
2026-12-30
是
6% 機率
$32,412 交易量
$32,412 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025 for a standard six-year term, securing broad cross-factional support that ended a prolonged vacancy. As of August 2026, no legislative initiatives, public campaigns, or shifts in parliamentary coalitions have emerged to challenge his tenure or trigger early removal procedures. Recent diplomatic activity, including his July 2026 White House meetings with U.S. officials focused on Israeli withdrawal, ceasefire implementation, and state authority over armed groups, has instead reinforced his institutional role. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.9% “No” price aligns with the structural stability of the fixed term and the lack of any verified political or constitutional catalysts that could alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$32,412結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025 for a standard six-year term, securing broad cross-factional support that ended a prolonged vacancy. As of August 2026, no legislative initiatives, public campaigns, or shifts in parliamentary coalitions have emerged to challenge his tenure or trigger early removal procedures. Recent diplomatic activity, including his July 2026 White House meetings with U.S. officials focused on Israeli withdrawal, ceasefire implementation, and state authority over armed groups, has instead reinforced his institutional role. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.9% “No” price aligns with the structural stability of the fixed term and the lack of any verified political or constitutional catalysts that could alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,412結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025 for a standard six-year term, securing broad cross-factional support that ended a prolonged vacancy. As of August 2026, no legislative initiatives, public campaigns, or shifts in parliamentary coalitions have emerged to challenge his tenure or trigger early removal procedures. Recent diplomatic activity, including his July 2026 White House meetings with U.S. officials focused on Israeli withdrawal, ceasefire implementation, and state authority over armed groups, has instead reinforced his institutional role. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.9% “No” price aligns with the structural stability of the fixed term and the lack of any verified political or constitutional catalysts that could alter the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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